Boston United vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 0
BOS
59%
21%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 0
LEA
36%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 1
AFC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STO
1 - 4
BOS
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 4
BRA
26%
24%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
HED
17%
22%
60%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 1
WOR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 3
ALT
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
CHE
14%
21%
66%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |