Bosnia U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
66.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
BIH
0 - 2
HUN
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
SMR
0 - 2
BIH
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
BIH
4 - 1
TUR
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +3 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
LUX
0 - 1
BIH
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 1
WLS
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 2
DNK
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
HUN
69%
21%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
13%
21%
66%
|
80 | 23 | 57 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
HUN
2 - 0
ITA
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
BIH
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | -1 |