Bosco Arévalo vs Velilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosco Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
BOS
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BOS
3 - 2
UXA
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BOS
2 - 1
CUE
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAL
4 - 1
BOS
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOS
2 - 1
CAS
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ARE
2 - 1
VEL
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 3
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CEB
3 - 1
VEL
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 4
VEL
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
3 - 0
UXA
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +2 |