B. Dortmund vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HOF
1 - 2
BVB
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BVB
0 - 0
M05
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
BVB
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
BVB
2 - 0
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
OSN
3 - 2
BVB
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FCN
0 - 1
SCF
46%
26%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 3
FCN
69%
18%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
M05
1 - 0
FCN
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 2
BRE
16%
21%
63%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HOF
3 - 0
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |