B. Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
HER
2 - 1
BVB
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
COT
0 - 4
BVB
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
BVB
0 - 1
ACM
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
BVB
3 - 1
KAI
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 2
BVB
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LEV
0 - 3
COT
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
LEV
0 - 2
FCN
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
INT
3 - 2
LEV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MUN
0 - 3
LEV
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 1
WAL
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |