B. Dortmund vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
SWE
5 - 2
BVB
47%
22%
31%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
BVB
3 - 3
MON
81%
11%
9%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
PRD
4 - 2
BVB
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
BVB
3 - 0
BOC
57%
21%
23%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
BVB
2 - 1
MSV
82%
10%
8%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
AAA
7 - 2
PRE
71%
16%
13%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
S04
7 - 1
AAA
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
AAA
4 - 2
KOL
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
F95
1 - 0
AAA
65%
18%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
AAA
3 - 0
RHE
84%
10%
6%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |