B. Dortmund vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AUG
3 - 5
BVB
15%
19%
67%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FEY
2 - 4
BVB
23%
22%
55%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BVB
0 - 2
M05
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
SDL
0 - 0
BVB
15%
20%
65%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
HOF
2 - 1
BVB
26%
22%
52%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 1
WOL
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 1
GNK
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 2
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
KVM
2 - 2
KOL
41%
24%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
KOL
1 - 0
BRE
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |