B. Dortmund Sub 19 vs MSV Duisburg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
BOR
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BOR
4 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 1
BOR
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BOR
3 - 1
LEV
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
PRE
1 - 3
BOR
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
DUI
0 - 4
ALA
64%
18%
17%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ESS
0 - 2
DUI
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
DUI
5 - 0
ARM
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 5
DUI
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
DUI
0 - 1
LEV
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -2 |