B. Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 2
BOR
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
BOR
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 0
DIE
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
ABI
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EIN
2 - 0
BOR
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
ABI
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EIN
1 - 1
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
PRE
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
WUP
1 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
KAI
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |