Borgosesia vs Pinerolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
7º
19º
9º
42
5º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 74 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 58 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 56 |
8º
|
58% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 45 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 44 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 33 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 13 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 0
BOR
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BOR
3 - 4
CAS
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VFC
3 - 2
BOR
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BOR
3 - 4
SAN
13%
19%
69%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
BOR
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Pinerolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 0
AST
29%
23%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 2
SAN
12%
16%
73%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 4
PIN
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 3
ASD
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
PIN
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |