Borgosesia vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 2
BOR
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 2
BOG
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 2
BOR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 1
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 2
BOR
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 4
SES
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GOZ
1 - 1
NOV
52%
23%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
CHI
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VER
0 - 0
NOV
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 2
VER
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |