Borgaro Nobis vs Fossano Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
20º
19º
26
4º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 68 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 66 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
7º
|
89.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 54 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 49 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 49 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 48 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 43 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 41 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 41 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 40 |
16º
|
37% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 34 |
18º
|
42% | |
|
|
18º
|
28 | 31 |
19º
|
45% | |
|
|
19º
|
26 | 29 |
20º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 2
ASD
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOR
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 2
PRO
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
BOR
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 3
ABN
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FOS
1 - 1
LIG
11%
22%
67%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
FOS
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
FOS
0 - 1
VOG
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
FOS
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOS
1 - 0
CAI
62%
18%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |