Border Security Force vs Tollygunge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Border Security Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1999 |
BSF
0 - 1
EAS
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1999 |
BSF
1 - 0
DEM
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1999 |
BSF
0 - 1
MBS
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tollygunge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
TRA
0 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
KOC
1 - 1
TOL
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
EAS
0 - 1
TOL
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
TOL
1 - 1
JCT
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1999 |
DEM
0 - 1
TOL
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |