Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Girondins Bordeaux vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PSG
0 - 0
GIR
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CRV
0 - 0
GIR
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
REN
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 3
GIR
28%
24%
47%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
GIR
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NPA
1 - 2
CRV
16%
25%
60%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CRV
0 - 0
GIR
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CRV
2 - 2
RAD
75%
16%
8%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
OMO
0 - 0
CRV
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
CRV
0 - 0
OMO
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |