Bonchamp vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonchamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAN
2 - 0
BON
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BON
0 - 4
ANG
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
USS
2 - 0
BON
72%
18%
10%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BON
2 - 4
CHA
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
COG
1 - 1
BON
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAU
2 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SAU
2 - 0
ASC
71%
18%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SAB
2 - 1
SAU
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAU
1 - 0
BOU
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
POI
0 - 3
SAU
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |