Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
TRA
1 - 1
BOL
24%
26%
51%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 2
LEI
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
3 - 1
BOL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
BOL
1 - 0
SOU
44%
26%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ASV
1 - 2
MUD
18%
24%
58%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
MID
0 - 1
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
MUD
3 - 2
EVE
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TOT
1 - 2
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
MUD
3 - 1
MAC
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |