Championship Round 22

Bolton Wanderers vs Crewe Alexandra analysis

Bolton Wanderers Crewe Alexandra
76 ELO 57
2.8% Tilt 3.9%
1232º General ELO ranking 2887º
42º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
78.4%
Bolton Wanderers
14.8%
Draw
6.8%
Crewe Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.8%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bolton Wanderers
-8%
-4%
Crewe Alexandra

ELO progression

Bolton Wanderers
Crewe Alexandra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2000
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 1
Watford
WAT
60%
22%
18%
75 69 6 0
25 Nov. 2000
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
31%
26%
43%
76 65 11 -1
18 Nov. 2000
NOR
Norwich City
0 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
23%
26%
51%
76 63 13 0
11 Nov. 2000
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
60%
22%
19%
75 69 6 +1
04 Nov. 2000
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
45%
26%
30%
75 77 2 0

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2000
HUR
Huddersfield Town
3 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
47%
26%
27%
59 58 1 0
25 Nov. 2000
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
27%
26%
47%
58 71 13 +1
18 Nov. 2000
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 2
Stockport County
STO
51%
24%
24%
59 57 2 -1
10 Nov. 2000
PNE
Preston North End
2 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
65%
21%
14%
59 69 10 0
04 Nov. 2000
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 0
Wolves
WOL
33%
29%
39%
58 69 11 +1