Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
BOL
2 - 0
SHE
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1961 |
MUD
0 - 3
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 0
WOL
33%
23%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
BPO
2 - 1
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
ASV
3 - 1
ARS
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
3 - 0
ASV
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1961 |
ASV
1 - 3
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
WBA
1 - 1
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1961 |
ASV
1 - 0
SHW
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |