Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
FUL
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
WAT
0 - 1
BOL
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
MID
5 - 1
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
WIG
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
23%
26%
52%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
ARS
3 - 1
TOT
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
TOT
2 - 2
ARS
30%
27%
43%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |