Bolognesi Tacna vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolognesi Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 0
HUA
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 0
UNI
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 0
GAL
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 0
BOL
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
AYA
3 - 0
ALI
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 0
AYA
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 0
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 2
AYA
63%
24%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |