Bologna vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
ATL
1 - 2
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
PAD
2 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 4
NAP
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
TRI
0 - 3
JUV
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
NOV
5 - 0
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
TRI
0 - 0
UDI
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
COM
2 - 0
TRI
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
TRI
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |