Bologna vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
BOL
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 2
BOL
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 0
BOL
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
CTT
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
TER
1 - 2
TRA
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
3 - 1
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LIV
6 - 0
TRA
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 0
LAT
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 2
TRA
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |