Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
ABN
2 - 5
BOL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
CRO
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOL
33%
29%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 1
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 1
FRO
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ARZ
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 1
MOD
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 2
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |