Bologna vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 0
VIC
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ABN
1 - 0
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
BOL
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
MES
0 - 0
SPE
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 0
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MES
2 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
MES
35%
26%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PIS
0 - 0
MES
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |