Bologna vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 2
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 0
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 1
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 4
SIE
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
41%
27%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ROM
3 - 2
LEC
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 3
SAM
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |