Bolea vs San Jorge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
BOL
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BOL
3 - 2
GUR
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 4
SIE
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 4
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 5
JHU
33%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
San Jorge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SJO
0 - 1
SOD
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
POS
2 - 0
SJO
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
0 - 1
SJO
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SJO
0 - 1
ALM
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GUR
3 - 2
SJO
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |