BK Union vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
85.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BK Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 4
BOL
76%
13%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GVI
0 - 2
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 3
ABT
18%
18%
64%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AVE
3 - 3
BOL
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 0
B93
7%
13%
81%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ACH
2 - 1
LYN
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ACH
0 - 5
AAB
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AGF
2 - 0
ACH
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ACH
0 - 2
MID
17%
21%
63%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BIF
1 - 2
ACH
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |