Bojano vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
73%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bojano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ISE
8 - 0
ASB
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASB
0 - 7
FAN
12%
19%
70%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
REC
6 - 0
ASB
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ASB
0 - 3
GIU
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ANC
8 - 0
ASB
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FER
4 - 3
VIS
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AMI
0 - 2
FER
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
MAT
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 1
FER
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
CIV
57%
22%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |