Bogotá vs Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 2
BOG
48%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
BOG
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BOG
3 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
BOG
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 3
PAS
26%
29%
46%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 2
BOG
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 0
PAC
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
ACA
30%
27%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 0
RSC
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
ACA
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |