Bogen vs Unterföhring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SON
2 - 1
BOG
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 2
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 5
BOG
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
3 - 3
KOT
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
KIR
0 - 1
BOG
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Unterföhring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
UNT
47%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 1
KOT
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KIR
0 - 2
UNT
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 0
HAH
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RUH
0 - 3
UNT
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |