VfL Bochum vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 1
HSV
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
FCN
3 - 3
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
3 - 1
KOL
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
3 - 0
BOC
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
BOC
2 - 0
HSV
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
STP
0 - 1
OSN
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
AAA
1 - 1
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
STP
3 - 0
SAL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1986 |
SCF
1 - 0
STP
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1986 |
STP
4 - 2
SAA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |