Bundesliga Round 18

VfL Bochum vs Nürnberg analysis

VfL Bochum Nürnberg
79 ELO 72
5.7% Tilt 2.7%
180º General ELO ranking 621º
21º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
66.5%
VfL Bochum
19.2%
Draw
14.3%
Nürnberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.4%
Win probability
Nürnberg
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Bochum
+3%
-3%
Nürnberg

ELO progression

VfL Bochum
Nürnberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 1985
BOC
VfL Bochum
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
40%
25%
36%
78 83 5 0
23 Nov. 1985
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
BOC
72%
17%
12%
79 85 6 -1
19 Nov. 1985
BOC
VfL Bochum
3 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
62%
21%
17%
78 75 3 +1
13 Nov. 1985
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
31%
26%
43%
78 88 10 0
09 Nov. 1985
HAN
Hannover 96
1 - 2
VfL Bochum
BOC
54%
23%
23%
78 76 2 0

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 1985
FCN
Nürnberg
3 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
54%
23%
23%
72 73 1 0
19 Nov. 1985
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 2
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
43%
26%
31%
73 78 5 -1
09 Nov. 1985
KOL
Köln
3 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
73%
16%
11%
73 83 10 0
02 Nov. 1985
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
33%
26%
41%
74 85 11 -1
25 Oct. 1985
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
3 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
53%
24%
24%
74 73 1 0