VfL Bochum II vs TuS Bovinghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
11º
2º
0
15º
18º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 58 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 55 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 54 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 54 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 52 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 49 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 48 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 47 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 47 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 43 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 42 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 36 |
17º
|
93.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 29 |
18º
|
91% | |
|
|
19º
|
0 | 15 |
19º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
1 - 3
BOC
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 0
LIP
54%
22%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GIE
1 - 1
BOC
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BOC
5 - 2
WER
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ERK
1 - 1
BOC
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Bovinghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 1
SVH
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 8
TDO
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 3
WUP
5%
11%
84%
|
27 | 63 | 36 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 3
SSC
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SVR
1 - 2
TUS
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |