Bocal vs CF Chelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bocal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DSA
7 - 0
BOC
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 3
MAF
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
BOC
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BOC
4 - 2
OUT
65%
19%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SBR
4 - 2
BOC
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CF Chelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
LIV
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 4
DSA
12%
18%
71%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAF
2 - 2
CHE
83%
11%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
MAL
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
OUT
2 - 1
CHE
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |