Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
BUC
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 2
CEN
33%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
BUC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
IRV
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 0
BUC
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
INS
1 - 3
SAR
59%
26%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 0
MER
45%
29%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 1
SAR
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAR
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 0
COL
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |