Boca Unidos vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 1
BUC
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
BUC
1 - 0
IRV
42%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
BUC
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BUC
1 - 0
MER
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FER
0 - 2
BUC
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
IRV
1 - 1
INS
40%
27%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
INS
0 - 0
CHA
49%
29%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
INS
28%
30%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
FER
49%
28%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
INS
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |