Boca Júnior FC vs América SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ATG
1 - 0
BOC
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 1
AFP
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ITA
3 - 0
BOC
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 6
SER
23%
26%
52%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
BOC
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AME
6 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
LAG
32%
23%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FFC
4 - 1
AME
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
CON
5 - 0
AME
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
BOC
49%
22%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |