Boavista vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 2
GFC
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 2
SCP
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
BOA
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
SAN
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
FAM
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |