Boa EC vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
DEM
4 - 2
BOA
30%
24%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
ATM
3 - 0
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
BOA
1 - 0
CRZ
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BOA
2 - 1
DEM
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BOA
2 - 3
IFC
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
3 - 1
CEI
85%
11%
5%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LUZ
3 - 1
CEI
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
CEI
2 - 3
GAM
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEI
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
18%
21%
62%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |