Boa EC vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
BOA
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 2
CRZ
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 0
BOA
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
3 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 5
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USC
0 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |