Boa EC vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 1
UBE
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 4
IFC
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
GOI
0 - 0
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
AMF
3 - 1
BOA
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 1
CRZ
7%
16%
77%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 2
CAL
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAL
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
4 - 0
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
UBE
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |