Blue Waters vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blue Waters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
BLU
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OKA
2 - 1
BLU
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 1
OYW
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ELE
1 - 1
BLU
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CIT
0 - 1
BLU
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ORL
2 - 1
OVF
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AFR
3 - 1
ORL
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 1
ORL
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
OKA
0 - 1
ORL
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MIG
0 - 1
ORL
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |