South African First Division Round 17

Bloemfontein Celtic vs Free State Stars analysis

Bloemfontein Celtic Free State Stars
67 ELO 64
-22.7% Tilt -9.9%
21383º General ELO ranking 20434º
74º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
43.4%
Bloemfontein Celtic
29.1%
Draw
27.5%
Free State Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
Bloemfontein Celtic
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
27.5%
Win probability
Free State Stars
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Bloemfontein Celtic
Free State Stars
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bloemfontein Celtic
Bloemfontein Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2019
BLO
Bloemfontein Celtic
1 - 0
Richards Bay
RIB
48%
25%
27%
67 58 9 0
10 Feb. 2019
BAR
Baroka
2 - 2
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
43%
28%
29%
67 66 1 0
03 Feb. 2019
BLO
Bloemfontein Celtic
3 - 0
Black Leopards
BLA
34%
29%
37%
67 67 0 0
27 Jan. 2019
SEA
Super Eagles
1 - 2
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
11%
16%
72%
66 52 14 +1
20 Jan. 2019
SSU
SuperSport United
2 - 1
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
54%
25%
21%
66 70 4 0

Matches

Free State Stars
Free State Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2019
FRE
Free State Stars
0 - 2
Chippa United
CHI
40%
29%
31%
64 67 3 0
26 Jan. 2019
FRE
Free State Stars
1 - 2
Richards Bay
RIB
57%
22%
21%
63 55 8 +1
16 Jan. 2019
MPU
Cape Town City FC
5 - 0
Free State Stars
FRE
59%
23%
17%
64 72 8 -1
09 Jan. 2019
MAR
Durban City
1 - 2
Free State Stars
FRE
48%
27%
25%
64 68 4 0
05 Jan. 2019
FRE
Free State Stars
1 - 2
Bidvest Wits
BID
27%
29%
44%
64 74 10 0