Blagnac vs Brive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 2
BLA
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BLA
4 - 0
USR
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
BLA
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BLA
0 - 0
TOF
52%
26%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 2
BLA
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 2
SAI
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
BRI
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 1
TRE
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 2
STA
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 2
BRI
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |