Blacktown City Demons vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
API
0 - 1
BLA
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BLA
6 - 0
BLA
84%
11%
6%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
BLA
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
3 - 0
WOL
31%
24%
44%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAS
3 - 1
BLA
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
MWF
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
SYD
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 2
API
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 1
KDA
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
21%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |