Championship Round 18

Blackburn Rovers vs Leeds United analysis

Blackburn Rovers Leeds United
80 ELO 87
3.7% Tilt 6.1%
834º General ELO ranking 168º
31º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
28.4%
Blackburn Rovers
24.6%
Draw
47%
Leeds United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
Blackburn Rovers
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47%
Win probability
Leeds United
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Blackburn Rovers
+4%
+5%
Leeds United

Points and table prediction

Blackburn Rovers
Their league position
Leeds United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
12º
100
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leeds United
100
100
0%
Burnley
100
100
0%
Sheffield United
90
92
100%
Sunderland
76
76
100%
Coventry City
69
69
100%
Bristol City
68
68
100%
Blackburn Rovers
66
66
100%
Millwall
66
66
100%
Middlesbrough
10º
64
64
0%
West Bromwich Albion
64
64
10º
0%
Swansea City
11º
61
61
11º
100%
Sheffield Wednesday
12º
58
58
12º
100%
Norwich City
13º
57
57
13º
100%
Watford
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Queens Park Rangers
15º
56
56
15º
100%
Portsmouth
16º
54
54
16º
100%
Oxford United
17º
53
53
17º
100%
Stoke City
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Derby County
19º
50
50
19º
100%
Preston North End
20º
50
50
20º
100%
Hull City
21º
49
49
21º
0%
Luton Town
22º
49
49
22º
0%
Plymouth Argyle
23º
46
46
23º
100%
Cardiff City
24º
44
44
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Blackburn Rovers
Leeds United
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Blackburn Rovers
Leeds United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2024
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
50%
25%
26%
79 83 4 0
09 Nov. 2024
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 3
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
29%
26%
45%
79 72 7 0
06 Nov. 2024
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 2
Stoke City
STO
51%
25%
24%
79 77 2 0
02 Nov. 2024
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 2
Sheffield United
SHE
40%
26%
35%
80 84 4 -1
26 Oct. 2024
WAT
Watford
1 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
36%
26%
37%
80 78 2 0

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2024
LEE
Leeds United
3 - 0
Luton Town
LUT
61%
21%
18%
87 81 6 0
24 Nov. 2024
SWA
Swansea City
3 - 4
Leeds United
LEE
24%
25%
51%
87 78 9 0
09 Nov. 2024
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 0
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
75%
16%
9%
87 72 15 0
06 Nov. 2024
MIL
Millwall
1 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
23%
25%
52%
87 78 9 0
02 Nov. 2024
LEE
Leeds United
3 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
69%
19%
12%
87 74 13 0