Premier League Round 5

Blackburn Rovers vs Aston Villa analysis

Blackburn Rovers Aston Villa
78 ELO 90
16.3% Tilt 4.3%
829º General ELO ranking 53º
31º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.9%
Blackburn Rovers
19.6%
Draw
60.6%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
Blackburn Rovers
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
60.6%
Win probability
Aston Villa
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Blackburn Rovers
-6%
+8%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Blackburn Rovers
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 1897
STO
Stoke City
2 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
59%
21%
20%
78 78 0 0
11 Sep. 1897
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 3
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
43%
24%
33%
78 81 3 0
04 Sep. 1897
DER
Derby County
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
69%
18%
14%
79 84 5 -1
17 Apr. 1897
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
78%
14%
9%
79 89 10 0
10 Apr. 1897
STO
Stoke City
1 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
39%
23%
37%
79 77 2 0

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 1897
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Bury
BCF
81%
12%
7%
90 79 11 0
11 Sep. 1897
NOT
Notts County
2 - 3
Aston Villa
ASV
22%
20%
58%
90 76 14 0
04 Sep. 1897
ASV
Aston Villa
4 - 3
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
80%
12%
8%
90 75 15 0
01 Sep. 1897
ASV
Aston Villa
5 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
78%
14%
8%
90 81 9 0
26 Apr. 1897
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
22%
21%
57%
89 84 5 +1