Switzerland Fifth Division Round 15

Black Stars vs Neuchâtel Xamax II analysis

Black Stars Neuchâtel Xamax II
36 ELO 36
1.3% Tilt 8.7%
4874º General ELO ranking 35961º
56º Country ELO ranking 383º
ELO win probability
51.6%
Black Stars
22.3%
Draw
26.2%
Neuchâtel Xamax II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
Black Stars
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.2%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax II
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Black Stars
+12%
+15%
Neuchâtel Xamax II

ELO progression

Black Stars
Neuchâtel Xamax II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Black Stars
Black Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2012
FCO
Oberdorf
1 - 4
Black Stars
BLA
14%
19%
67%
36 17 19 0
06 Nov. 2011
FCE
Etoile Sporting
0 - 3
Black Stars
BLA
19%
21%
60%
35 20 15 +1
29 Oct. 2011
BLA
Black Stars
4 - 1
Lyss
LYS
74%
16%
11%
35 23 12 0
22 Oct. 2011
FCC
FC Courtetelle
2 - 2
Black Stars
BLA
16%
20%
64%
35 20 15 0
15 Oct. 2011
BLA
Black Stars
5 - 2
Liestal
LIE
54%
22%
24%
34 33 1 +1

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax II
Neuchâtel Xamax II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2012
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax II
2 - 0
Moutier
MOU
48%
22%
30%
35 35 0 0
05 Nov. 2011
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax II
4 - 0
Allschwil
ALL
82%
12%
6%
35 17 18 0
30 Oct. 2011
FCF
Franches Montagnes
0 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax II
NEX
11%
18%
71%
35 12 23 0
22 Oct. 2011
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax II
7 - 2
Alle
ALL
68%
18%
14%
34 25 9 +1
15 Oct. 2011
FCT
Therwil
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax II
NEX
16%
20%
64%
36 19 17 -2