1st Division Round 21

Black Leopards vs Magesi analysis

Black Leopards Magesi
57 ELO 63
-13.5% Tilt -4%
3809º General ELO ranking 1945º
28º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
33.2%
Black Leopards
29.3%
Draw
37.5%
Magesi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
Black Leopards
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
37.5%
Win probability
Magesi
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Black Leopards
Their league position
Magesi
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
15º
12º
57
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Magesi
57
57
100%
Pretoria University
49
49
100%
Baroka
47
47
100%
Durban City
46
46
100%
JDR Stars
46
46
100%
Upington City FC
44
44
100%
Casric Stars
43
43
100%
Hungry Lions
42
42
100%
Orbit College
39
39
100%
Marumo Gallants FC
10º
36
36
10º
63%
Venda
11º
35
35
11º
39.5%
Black Leopards
14º
34
35
12º
0%
Milford
12º
34
34
13º
0%
Pretoria Callies FC
13º
34
34
14º
0%
NB La Masia
15º
31
32
15º
60.5%
Platinum City Rovers
16º
25
25
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Black Leopards
Magesi
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Black Leopards
Magesi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Black Leopards
Black Leopards
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
CST
Casric Stars
0 - 2
Black Leopards
BLA
55%
25%
20%
56 62 6 0
17 Feb. 2024
BLA
Black Leopards
3 - 1
Platinum City Rovers
PCR
40%
27%
33%
54 56 2 +2
14 Feb. 2024
BLA
Black Leopards
0 - 1
Pretoria Callies FC
PCF
31%
29%
40%
55 60 5 -1
19 Dec. 2023
MIL
Milford
4 - 2
Black Leopards
BLA
14%
21%
65%
55 19 36 0
15 Dec. 2023
MAR
Durban City
1 - 2
Black Leopards
BLA
69%
20%
11%
54 68 14 +1

Matches

Magesi
Magesi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
MAG
Magesi
2 - 0
Baroka
BAR
38%
29%
33%
62 65 3 0
18 Feb. 2024
MIL
Marumo Gallants FC
0 - 2
Magesi
MAG
48%
28%
25%
60 65 5 +2
13 Feb. 2024
JDR
JDR Stars
0 - 2
Magesi
MAG
50%
26%
24%
59 63 4 +1
19 Dec. 2023
MAG
Magesi
2 - 1
Upington City FC
UCF
78%
15%
7%
59 21 38 0
16 Dec. 2023
MAG
Magesi
1 - 1
NB La Masia
NBM
46%
27%
27%
59 56 3 0