Armenia First Division Round 28

BKMA vs Lernayin analysis

BKMA Lernayin
62 ELO 49
9.1% Tilt 16.8%
2313º General ELO ranking 2599º
12º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
69.9%
BKMA
17.9%
Draw
12.1%
Lernayin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
BKMA
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.1%
Win probability
Lernayin
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BKMA
+9%
-26%
Lernayin

ELO progression

BKMA
Lernayin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BKMA
BKMA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2021
BKM
BKMA
3 - 1
Lernayin
LER
68%
19%
13%
61 50 11 0
10 May. 2021
BAN
Urartu II
2 - 6
BKMA
BKM
31%
24%
45%
60 53 7 +1
06 May. 2021
BKM
BKMA
4 - 1
Ararat II
ARA
72%
17%
11%
60 45 15 0
30 Apr. 2021
BKM
BKMA
1 - 0
Noravank
NOV
46%
26%
28%
59 61 2 +1
25 Apr. 2021
JSF
Sevan FC
2 - 0
BKMA
BKM
55%
23%
22%
60 63 3 -1

Matches

Lernayin
Lernayin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2021
BKM
BKMA
3 - 1
Lernayin
LER
68%
19%
13%
50 61 11 0
10 May. 2021
LER
Lernayin
0 - 2
Sevan FC
JSF
16%
25%
59%
50 64 14 0
04 May. 2021
PYU
Pyunik II
0 - 1
Lernayin
LER
30%
22%
48%
50 42 8 0
30 Apr. 2021
LER
Lernayin
3 - 1
Ararat-Armenia II
ARA
59%
21%
20%
49 45 4 +1
25 Apr. 2021
WAR
West Armenia
3 - 2
Lernayin
LER
80%
14%
7%
50 66 16 -1